Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Blackshear-Prospect Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin
Tract 48453000901 · Travis, TX · pop 3,171 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 48453000901 sits in the Blackshear-Prospect Hill area of Austin eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. At $2,512 a month, rents run 45% over what the rest of Austin commands.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share64.4%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$112,130
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Austin and the region
Centroid at 30.2656, -97.7237 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blackshear-Prospect Hill scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$2,512 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5
How Blackshear-Prospect Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 158Total filings over 12 yrs
- 4.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2006)
- 10Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Blackshear-Prospect Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blackshear-Prospect Hill
Cost burden runs 29% here against 44.8% across Travis County. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 28.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The filing record is not thin: 158 evictions over 12 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2006, when 5.5% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Austin. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48453000901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453000901?
Census tract 48453000901 in the Blackshear-Prospect Hill neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48453000901?
Median gross rent is $2,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48453000901?
16.4% of residents in tract 48453000901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,171.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48453000901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 1th, minority 66th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 48453000901 considered part of Blackshear-Prospect Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453000901 fall within Blackshear-Prospect Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453000901?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 158 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453000901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.08% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48453000901 compare to Austin overall?
Tract 48453000901 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Austin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48453000901 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Austin
Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
South Lamar
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
North Lamar
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Grooms Addition
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
St. Johns
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
The Drag
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
La Costa
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hemphill Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Galindo
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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