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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

East Riverside - Oltorf Eviction Risk: Moderate , Austin

Tract 48453002315 · Travis, TX · pop 2,622 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 48453002315 runs through East Riverside - Oltorf in Austin. With 2,622 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,360 a month against an average household income of $53,833 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 80% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 38% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,564
Renter share80.4%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate29.5%
Median income$53,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In East Riverside - Oltorf
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 239 tracts In Austin
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 290 tracts In Travis
Very High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,099 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Austin and the region

Centroid at 30.2339, -97.7321 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Riverside - Oltorf scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Austin
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.5% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,360 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Austin
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Austin
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Austin
4.5

How East Riverside - Oltorf compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Riverside - Oltorf risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 002315Austin: 2.92.9Austinparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 937Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 6.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.8%Peak (2012)
  • 150Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 484530023152001: 57 filings (3.97/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2003: 53 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2004: 46 filings (3.20/100 renter HHs)2005: 90 filings (7.11/100 renter HHs)2006: 84 filings (6.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 89 filings (7.03/100 renter HHs)2008: 79 filings (6.24/100 renter HHs)2009: 59 filings (4.66/100 renter HHs)2010: 74 filings (6.71/100 renter HHs)2011: 137 filings (11.65/100 renter HHs)2012: 150 filings (12.76/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 163% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Riverside - Oltorf. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Riverside - Oltorf

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Austin eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Travis County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 937 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 6.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.8% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 48453002315

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48453002315?

Census tract 48453002315 in the East Riverside - Oltorf neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48453002315?

Median gross rent is $1,360/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48453002315?

29.5% of residents in tract 48453002315 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,622.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48453002315?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 8th, minority 82th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 48453002315 considered part of East Riverside - Oltorf?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48453002315 fall within East Riverside - Oltorf (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48453002315?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 937 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 48453002315 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.25% of renter households, peaking at 12.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48453002315 compare to Austin overall?

Tract 48453002315 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Austin at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Austin eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Austin

Top eight tracts in Austin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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