Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Ogden Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 49057200301 · Weber, UT · pop 4,328

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 49057200301 in Ogden, UT reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,328. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 18% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units1,810

Renter share36.7%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate12.3%

Median income$65,660

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Ogden and the region

Centroid at 41.2585, -111.9792 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ogden scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Ogden

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.9

State political climate

Utah legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

12.3% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$1,198 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Ogden

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Ogden

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Ogden

3.5

How Ogden compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
1%Grade B
96%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.3%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
21.2%Food insecurity
10.4%SNAP enrollment
9.9%Transit barriers
17.6%No health insurance
19.9%Frequent mental distress
36.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ogden

Against Weber County at 39.9%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.9/10.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. Against the Weber County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,198, close to the Ogden average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $65,660.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 49057200301

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 49057200301?

Census tract 49057200301 in Ogden scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 49057200301?

Median gross rent is $1,198/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 49057200301?

12.3% of residents in tract 49057200301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,328.

How socially vulnerable is tract 49057200301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 80th, minority 56th, housing 80th.

What share of households in tract 49057200301 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 49057200301 compare to Ogden overall?

Tract 49057200301 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Ogden at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ogden eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 49057200301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Ogden

Top eight tracts in Ogden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.