Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Dorchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Meadowbrook
Tract 51041100804 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 4,501 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 51041100804 in the Dorchester area of Meadowbrook, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,501. Cost burden runs 66% here against 42.3% across Chesterfield County.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,736
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$81,080
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Meadowbrook and the region
Centroid at 37.4514, -77.4707 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dorchester scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Meadowbrook
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,466 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Meadowbrook
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Meadowbrook
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Meadowbrook
6.4
How Dorchester compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 266Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2015)
- 42Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.0%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dorchester
Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.6/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. The filing record is not thin: 266 evictions over 7 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 10.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041100804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041100804?
Census tract 51041100804 in the Dorchester neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041100804?
Median gross rent is $1,466/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041100804?
7.0% of residents in tract 51041100804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,501.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041100804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 88th, minority 80th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 51041100804 considered part of Dorchester?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51041100804 fall within Dorchester (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041100804?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 266 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041100804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.33% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51041100804 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51041100804 compare to Meadowbrook overall?
Tract 51041100804 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Meadowbrook at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Meadowbrook; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Meadowbrook
Top eight tracts in Meadowbrook ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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