Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 51041101004 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51041101004 · Chesterfield County, VA · pop 5,156
The Moderate-tier score of 4.4/10 for census tract 51041101004 reflects conditions in Chesterfield in Chesterfield County, Virginia. On the national scale it ranks #67,969 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
10% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,196 a month against an average household income of $122,092 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,706
Renter share4.5%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$122,092
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
25
th percentile
Low
National
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chesterfield County and the region
Centroid at 37.3377, -77.7430 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 51041101004 scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,196 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 51041101004 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 66Total filings over 7 yrs
- 9.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.2%Peak (2013)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.2%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 51041101004
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Virginia eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Chesterfield County average of 5.8 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 66 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 9.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.2% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51041101004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51041101004?
Census tract 51041101004 in Chesterfield County scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51041101004?
Median gross rent is $1,196/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51041101004?
1.8% of residents in tract 51041101004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,156.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51041101004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 14th, minority 38th, housing 5th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51041101004?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 66 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 51041101004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.70% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51041101004 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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