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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Yacht Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate , Mount Vernon

Tract 51059416100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51059416100 covers part of the Yacht Haven area of Mount Vernon, VA, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,824. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 5% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,491
Renter share6.6%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$185,486

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Yacht Haven
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Mount Vernon
Moderate
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#122 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#1,032 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mount Vernon and the region

Centroid at 38.7048, -77.1168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Yacht Haven scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mount Vernon
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mount Vernon
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mount Vernon
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mount Vernon
6.7

How Yacht Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Yacht Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 416100Mount Vernon: 4.14.1Mount Vernonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 8.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak (2012)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594161002011: 9 filings (6.98/100 renter HHs)2012: 15 filings (11.63/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (10.85/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (2.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Yacht Haven

At $3,501 a month, rents run 116% over what the rest of Mount Vernon commands. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.3/10.

29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. SNAP participation runs 4.0% against 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 42 evictions over 4 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2012 at 11.6% of renter households.

In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059416100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059416100?

Census tract 51059416100 in the Yacht Haven neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059416100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059416100?

7.7% of residents in tract 51059416100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,824.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059416100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 56th, minority 41th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 51059416100 considered part of Yacht Haven?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059416100 fall within Yacht Haven (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059416100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059416100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.07% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059416100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059416100 compare to Mount Vernon overall?

Tract 51059416100 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Mount Vernon at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mount Vernon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mount Vernon

Top eight tracts in Mount Vernon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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