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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Yacht Haven Eviction Risk: Lower , Mount Vernon

Tract 51059416100 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,824 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51059416100 belongs to the Yacht Haven area of Mount Vernon, Virginia. It is home to 3,824 residents and scores 5.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 29% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $185,486 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 7% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 5% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,491
Renter share6.6%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$185,486

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Yacht Haven
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Mount Vernon
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#110 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#1,772 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mount Vernon and the region

Centroid at 38.7048, -77.1168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Yacht Haven scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mount Vernon
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mount Vernon
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mount Vernon
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mount Vernon
6.7

How Yacht Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Yacht Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 416100Mount Vernon: 3.73.7Mount Vernonparent cityCounty: 1.51.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 8.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.6%Peak (2012)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594161002011: 9 filings (6.98/100 renter HHs)2012: 15 filings (11.63/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (10.85/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (2.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Yacht Haven

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mount Vernon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059416100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059416100?

Census tract 51059416100 in the Yacht Haven neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059416100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059416100?

7.7% of residents in tract 51059416100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,824.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059416100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 56th, minority 41th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 51059416100 considered part of Yacht Haven?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059416100 fall within Yacht Haven (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059416100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059416100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.07% of renter households, peaking at 11.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059416100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059416100 compare to Mount Vernon overall?

Tract 51059416100 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Mount Vernon at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mount Vernon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mount Vernon

Top eight tracts in Mount Vernon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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