Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Cannon Eviction Risk: Lower , Rose Hill
Tract 51059420300 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,360 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Here is how census tract 51059420300, in Cannon in Rose Hill, looks to a landlord: a 4.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 6,360. That is riskier than about 27% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,119 a month while the average household earns $175,670 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,177
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$175,670
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rose Hill and the region
Centroid at 38.7971, -77.1008 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cannon scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rose Hill
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,119 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rose Hill
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rose Hill
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rose Hill
3.2
How Cannon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 30Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2012)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.1%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 21.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cannon
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rose Hill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and below the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 30 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 4.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.8% of renter households in 2012.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059420300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059420300?
Census tract 51059420300 in the Cannon neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059420300?
Median gross rent is $3,119/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059420300?
2.5% of residents in tract 51059420300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,360.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059420300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 69th, minority 54th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 51059420300 considered part of Cannon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059420300 fall within Cannon (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059420300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059420300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.39% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059420300 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059420300 compare to Rose Hill overall?
Tract 51059420300 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Rose Hill at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rose Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rose Hill
Top eight tracts in Rose Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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