Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Newberry Station Eviction Risk: Lower , Newington
Tract 51059421103 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,084 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3.4/10, tract 51059421103 in the Newberry Station area of Newington, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,084. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,193
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$141,185
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newington and the region
Centroid at 38.7395, -77.1679 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newberry Station scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newington
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,627 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newington
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newington
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newington
3.2
How Newberry Station compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2011)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 22.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newberry Station
Against Fairfax County at 41.0%, 28% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.7% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.8/10.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 filings here across 4 tracked years.
The voucher gap is 13.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The worst year on record was 2011, when 1.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059421103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059421103?
Census tract 51059421103 in the Newberry Station neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059421103?
Median gross rent is $2,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059421103?
3.0% of residents in tract 51059421103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,084.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059421103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 28th, minority 68th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 51059421103 considered part of Newberry Station?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059421103 fall within Newberry Station (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059421103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059421103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.04% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059421103 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059421103 compare to Newington overall?
Tract 51059421103 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Newington at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newington; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newington
Top eight tracts in Newington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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