Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Maple Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , George Mason
Tract 51059440505 ·
Fairfax County, VA · pop 1,262 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
51059440505 is a census tract in the Maple Hills area of George Mason, VA. It scores 4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,262 residents. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 6%Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units435
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$210,481
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Maple Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In George Mason
Moderate
Within county
57th percentile
#118 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
53th percentile
#1,032 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across George Mason and the region
Centroid at 38.8320, -77.2951 · click any tract to drill in
Why Maple Hills scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from George Mason
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from George Mason
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from George Mason
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from George Mason
5.0
How Maple Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
9%Socioeconomic
26%Household composition
45%Racial/ethnic minority
0%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Maple Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
5.1%Housing insecurity
3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
5.8%Food insecurity
3.5%SNAP enrollment
3.8%Transit barriers
4.3%No health insurance
10.8%Frequent mental distress
20.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Maple Hills
Average gross rent is $3,501, 44% above the George Mason average. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059440505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059440505?
Census tract 51059440505 in the Maple Hills neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059440505?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059440505?
5.8% of residents in tract 51059440505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,262.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059440505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 26th, minority 45th, housing 0th.
Q5
Is tract 51059440505 considered part of Maple Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059440505 fall within Maple Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059440505 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059440505 compare to George Mason overall?
Tract 51059440505 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of George Mason at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from George Mason; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in George Mason
Top eight tracts in George Mason ranked by composite eviction-risk score.