Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Maple Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , George Mason
Tract 51059440503 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,587 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 51059440503 covers Maple Hills in George Mason, home to 5,587 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 63rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,443 a month against an average household income of $119,545 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 73% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units270
Renter share73.0%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$119,545
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across George Mason and the region
Centroid at 38.8309, -77.3070 · click any tract to drill in
Why Maple Hills scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from George Mason
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,443 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from George Mason
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from George Mason
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from George Mason
5.0
How Maple Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Maple Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Maple Hills
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from George Mason, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059440503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059440503?
Census tract 51059440503 in the Maple Hills neighborhood scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059440503?
Median gross rent is $2,443/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059440503?
6.3% of residents in tract 51059440503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,587.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059440503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 9th, minority 71th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 51059440503 considered part of Maple Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059440503 fall within Maple Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059440503 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059440503 compare to George Mason overall?
Tract 51059440503 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of George Mason at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from George Mason; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in George Mason
Top eight tracts in George Mason ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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