Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Maple Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , George Mason
Tract 51059440503 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,587 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 51059440503 sits in the Maple Hills area of George Mason, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. Population here is 5,587. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units270
Renter share73.0%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$119,545
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across George Mason and the region
Centroid at 38.8309, -77.3070 · click any tract to drill in
Why Maple Hills scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from George Mason
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,443 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from George Mason
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from George Mason
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from George Mason
5.0
How Maple Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Maple Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Maple Hills
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.6/10. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters. It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent is $2,443, close to the George Mason average.
Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $119,545.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059440503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059440503?
Census tract 51059440503 in the Maple Hills neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059440503?
Median gross rent is $2,443/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059440503?
6.3% of residents in tract 51059440503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,587.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059440503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 9th, minority 71th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 51059440503 considered part of Maple Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059440503 fall within Maple Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059440503 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059440503 compare to George Mason overall?
Tract 51059440503 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of George Mason at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from George Mason; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in George Mason
Top eight tracts in George Mason ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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