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Neighborhood · George Mason, VA

Maple Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,849 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4–4.3

Maple Hills is a 2-tract neighborhood of George Mason, VA, population 6,849. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 43% against 29.9% citywide, putting Maple Hills 12.9% over its own city.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The voucher gap is 14.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. SNAP participation is 6.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,638, 9% above the George Mason average of $2,426.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.3 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $136,301.

62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Maple Hills vs George Mason How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.8% +43%
George Mason: 29.9%
Average gross rent
$2,638 +9%
George Mason: $2,426
Average HH income
$136,301 -12%
George Mason: $154,479
Poverty rate
6.2% +27%
George Mason: 4.9%
Renter share
61.5% +224%
George Mason: 19.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Maple Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4–4.3

Why Maple Hills scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
6.2% below poverty line · Range 1.5–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.6–10.0 across tracts
6.4
Risk score comparison

Maple Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Maple Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Maple Hills: 4.24.2Maple HillsNeighborhoodParent city: 4.24.2Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Maple Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059440503 4.3 5,587 44% $2,443
51059440505 4 1,262 39% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 45%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Maple Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Maple Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Maple Hills?

Maple Hills scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Maple Hills compare to George Mason overall?

Maple Hills scores 0.0 points higher than George Mason overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,638 vs $2,426.
Q3

What is the average rent in Maple Hills?

Average gross rent in Maple Hills is $2,638/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Maple Hills residents are renters?

62% of Maple Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 19% in George Mason). The neighborhood has 6,849 residents.
Q5

Is Maple Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Maple Hills sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Maple Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Maple Hills is census tract 51059440503 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4.3, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Maple Hills for landlords?

Maple Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to George Mason as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Maple Hills?

Maple Hills has 6,880 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (36.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (36.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Maple Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside George Mason

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Maple Hills.

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