Courtland Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bailey's Crossroads

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bailey's Crossroads, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 638 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 11.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.0% of renter households in 2011.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.