Skip to content
Neighborhood · Bailey's Crossroads, VA

Courtland Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 14,479 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 5.8–7.1

Courtland Park is a hispanic-white neighborhood in Bailey's Crossroads with 3 census tracts and a population of 14,479 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 56% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $1,775/month sits 12% lower than the Bailey's Crossroads citywide median ($2,021).

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Courtland Park vs Bailey's Crossroads How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.9% +61%
Bailey's Crossroads: 34.7%
Average gross rent
$1,775 -12%
Bailey's Crossroads: $2,021
Average HH income
$79,531 -6%
Bailey's Crossroads: $84,241
Poverty rate
21.0% -3%
Bailey's Crossroads: 21.7%
Renter share
64.5% +24%
Bailey's Crossroads: 52.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Courtland Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.8–7.1

Why Courtland Park scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 5.4–8.2 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.4 across tracts
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
65% renter households · Range 6.6–9.4 across tracts
8.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–8.2 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
21.0% below poverty line · Range 1.8–7.9 across tracts
5.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–3.2 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Courtland Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Courtland Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Courtland Park: 6.66.6Courtland ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 6.46.4Parent cityhost cityState: 5.35.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Courtland Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square — click to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 5.8 to 7.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Courtland Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059451601 7.1 6,704 60% $1,832
51059452700 6.5 5,032 53% $1,638
51059451602 5.8 2,743 53% $1,888
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 84%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Courtland Park

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 805Total filings (sum)
  • 6.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 20.0%Peak year (2011)
  • 3.77%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Courtland Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Courtland Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Courtland Park?

Courtland Park scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Courtland Park compare to Bailey's Crossroads overall?

Courtland Park scores 0.2 points higher than Bailey's Crossroads overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Median rent: $1,775 vs $2,021.

Q3

What is the average rent in Courtland Park?

Median gross rent in Courtland Park is $1,775/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Courtland Park residents are renters?

65% of Courtland Park households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Bailey's Crossroads). The neighborhood has 14,479 residents.

Q5

Is Courtland Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Courtland Park sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Courtland Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Courtland Park is census tract 51059451601 (score 7.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 7.1 — a spread of 1.3 points.

Q7

How safe is Courtland Park for landlords?

Courtland Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bailey's Crossroads as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Courtland Park?

Courtland Park has 14,834 residents (Hispanic-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (21.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Courtland Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bailey's Crossroads

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Courtland Park.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further