Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Random Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Fair Oaks
Tract 51059461202 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,749 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
How risky is the Random Hills neighborhood of Fair Oaks for landlords? Census tract 51059461202 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #22,288 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,350 a month against an average household income of $131,534 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,788
Renter share47.0%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$131,534
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fair Oaks and the region
Centroid at 38.8592, -77.3365 · click any tract to drill in
Why Random Hills scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fair Oaks
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,350 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fair Oaks
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fair Oaks
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fair Oaks
4.7
How Random Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 123Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2013)
- 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 46% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 5.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 12.6%Frequent mental distress
- 19.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Random Hills
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fair Oaks eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 123 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.5% of renter households in 2013.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059461202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059461202?
Census tract 51059461202 in the Random Hills neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059461202?
Median gross rent is $2,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059461202?
7.2% of residents in tract 51059461202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,749.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059461202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 29th, minority 65th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 51059461202 considered part of Random Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059461202 fall within Random Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059461202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059461202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.12% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059461202 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059461202 compare to Fair Oaks overall?
Tract 51059461202 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Fair Oaks at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fair Oaks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fair Oaks
Top eight tracts in Fair Oaks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related