Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally
Dixie Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fair Oaks
Tract 51059491703 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,166 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 6.8/10, tract 51059491703 in the Dixie Hill area of Fair Oaks, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 46%
Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units2,923
Renter share91.5%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$93,653
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fair Oaks and the region
Centroid at 38.8547, -77.3570 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dixie Hill scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fair Oaks
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,183 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fair Oaks
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fair Oaks
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fair Oaks
4.7
How Dixie Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 385Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2011)
- 95Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dixie Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 18.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dixie Hill
It sits 2.5 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3. 91% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10.
Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. Disability prevalence runs 18.4% against 31.5% nationally. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 385 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 5.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.6 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059491703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491703?
Census tract 51059491703 in the Dixie Hill neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059491703?
Median gross rent is $2,183/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491703?
7.5% of residents in tract 51059491703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,166.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 4th, minority 62th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 51059491703 considered part of Dixie Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059491703 fall within Dixie Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 385 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059491703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.76% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059491703 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059491703 compare to Fair Oaks overall?
Tract 51059491703 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fair Oaks at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fair Oaks eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fair Oaks
Top eight tracts in Fair Oaks ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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