Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Pine Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Merrifield
Tract 51059461700 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,845 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 51059461700 covers part of the Pine Ridge area of Merrifield, VA, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,718
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate9.8%
Median income$135,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Merrifield and the region
Centroid at 38.8690, -77.2532 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pine Ridge scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Merrifield
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.8% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,176 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Merrifield
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Merrifield
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Merrifield
3.8
How Pine Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 250Total filings over 4 yrs
- 5.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2012)
- 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 6.1%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pine Ridge
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10.
48% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 250 evictions over 4 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 7.9% of renter households. Average gross rent is $2,176, 8% below the Merrifield average. In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059461700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059461700?
Census tract 51059461700 in the Pine Ridge neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059461700?
Median gross rent is $2,176/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059461700?
9.8% of residents in tract 51059461700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,845.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059461700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 7th, minority 73th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 51059461700 considered part of Pine Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059461700 fall within Pine Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059461700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 250 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059461700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.58% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059461700 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059461700 compare to Merrifield overall?
Tract 51059461700 scores 6/10, right in line with the parent city of Merrifield at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Merrifield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Merrifield
Top eight tracts in Merrifield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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