Mosaic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Merrifield

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 15.4% against 31.5% nationally. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

38% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $2,275, close to the Merrifield average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $117,462.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.