Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Falls Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Idylwood
Tract 51059471304 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,142 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up Falls Hill in Idylwood, census tract 51059471304 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 27% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,300 monthly, set against $233,438 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units721
Renter share8.9%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$233,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Idylwood and the region
Centroid at 38.8910, -77.2053 · click any tract to drill in
Why Falls Hill scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Idylwood
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,300 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Idylwood
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Idylwood
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Idylwood
4.0
How Falls Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 2 yrs
- 5.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.8%Peak (2016)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Falls Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 3.6%SNAP enrollment
- 3.8%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 11.5%Frequent mental distress
- 20.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Falls Hill
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 9.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Idylwood, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 6 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.8% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059471304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059471304?
Census tract 51059471304 in the Falls Hill neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059471304?
Median gross rent is $3,300/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059471304?
3.2% of residents in tract 51059471304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,142.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059471304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 18th, minority 58th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 51059471304 considered part of Falls Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059471304 fall within Falls Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059471304?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51059471304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.88% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059471304 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059471304 compare to Idylwood overall?
Tract 51059471304 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Idylwood at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Idylwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Idylwood
Top eight tracts in Idylwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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