Falls Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Idylwood

The voucher gap is 42.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Cost burden runs 27% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 6 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.9/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $233,438, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.