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Neighborhood · Idylwood, VA

Falls Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 5,712 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.3–5.8

Falls Hill is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Idylwood with 2 census tracts and a population of 5,712 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 39% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $2,557/month sits 25% higher than the Idylwood citywide median ($2,045).

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Falls Hill vs Idylwood How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.9% +47%
Idylwood: 26.4%
Average gross rent
$2,557 +25%
Idylwood: $2,045
Average HH income
$147,451 +24%
Idylwood: $118,443
Poverty rate
6.5% +15%
Idylwood: 5.7%
Renter share
39.5% -12%
Idylwood: 44.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Falls Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.3–5.8

Why Falls Hill scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
40% renter households · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
6.5% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.1 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–9.3 across tracts
6.1
Risk score comparison

Falls Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Falls Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Falls Hill: 5.65.6Falls HillNeighborhoodParent city: 4.54.5Parent cityhost cityState: 5.35.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Falls Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059471303 5.8 3,570 46% $2,111
51059471304 5.3 2,142 27% $3,300
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 36%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Falls Hill

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 164Total filings (sum)
  • 4.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak year (2016)
  • 5.33%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Falls Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Falls Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Falls Hill?

Falls Hill scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Falls Hill compare to Idylwood overall?

Falls Hill scores 1.1 points higher than Idylwood overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 26% citywide. Median rent: $2,557 vs $2,045.

Q3

What is the average rent in Falls Hill?

Median gross rent in Falls Hill is $2,557/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Falls Hill residents are renters?

40% of Falls Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 45% in Idylwood). The neighborhood has 5,712 residents.

Q5

Is Falls Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Falls Hill sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Falls Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Falls Hill is census tract 51059471303 (score 5.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 5.8 — a spread of 0.5 points.

Q7

How safe is Falls Hill for landlords?

Falls Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Idylwood as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Falls Hill?

Falls Hill has 5,661 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.9%), Hispanic / Latino (10.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Falls Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Idylwood

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Falls Hill.

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