Cooktown Eviction Risk: Lower , Dranesville
Tract 51059480503 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,307 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Cooktown in Dranesville anchors census tract 51059480503, which lands at 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #31,124 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,648 monthly, set against $187,313 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dranesville and the region
Centroid at 38.9879, -77.3712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cooktown scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Cooktown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 0%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.79%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.0%Peak (2011)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cooktown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.3%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 18.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Cooktown
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dranesville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059480503
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059480503?
What is the average rent in tract 51059480503?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059480503?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059480503?
Is tract 51059480503 considered part of Cooktown?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059480503?
What share of households in tract 51059480503 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059480503 compare to Dranesville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Dranesville
Top eight tracts in Dranesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.