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Neighborhood · Dranesville, VA

Cooktown Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 16,250 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.4–4.8

Cooktown spans 3 census tracts of Dranesville, VA, population 16,250. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 56% against 31.1% citywide, putting Cooktown 25.0% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.4 to 4.8. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. At $2,651 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Dranesville commands. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.8/10.

Court records carry 72 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The voucher gap is 14.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 9.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.6% in 2016, is well off that peak. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Cooktown vs Dranesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.1% +80%
Dranesville: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$2,651 -17%
Dranesville: $3,187
Average HH income
$176,792 -16%
Dranesville: $210,766
Poverty rate
6.7% +147%
Dranesville: 2.7%
Renter share
18.1% +162%
Dranesville: 6.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cooktown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.4–4.8

Why Cooktown scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 3.5–8.9 across tracts
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 2.3–7.7 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–5.6 across tracts
5.1
Economic stress
6.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.1 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–8.2 across tracts
6.4
Risk score comparison

Cooktown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cooktown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Cooktown: 4.04.0CooktownNeighborhoodParent city: 4.04.0Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Cooktown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 3.4 to 4.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Cooktown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059480801 4.8 6,624 46% $2,266
51059480502 3.5 6,319 72% $3,056
51059480503 3.4 3,307 45% $2,648
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cooktown

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 72Total filings (sum)
  • 3.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak year (2011)
  • 3.67%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cooktown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cooktown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cooktown?

Cooktown scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cooktown compare to Dranesville overall?

Cooktown scores 0.0 points higher than Dranesville overall (4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,651 vs $3,187.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cooktown?

Average gross rent in Cooktown is $2,651/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cooktown residents are renters?

18% of Cooktown households are renter-occupied (vs 7% in Dranesville). The neighborhood has 16,250 residents.
Q5

Is Cooktown a high social-vulnerability area?

Cooktown sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cooktown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cooktown is census tract 51059480801 (score 4.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 4.8, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Cooktown for landlords?

Cooktown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dranesville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cooktown?

Cooktown has 15,965 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.3%), Hispanic / Latino (25.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cooktown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dranesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cooktown.

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