Skip to content
Neighborhood · Dranesville, VA

Cooktown Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 16,250 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.4–4.8

Cooktown spans 3 census tracts of Dranesville, VA, population 16,250. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 56% against 31.1% citywide, putting Cooktown 25.0% over its own city.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.4 to 4.8. A 1.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. At $2,651 a month, rents sit 17% under what the rest of Dranesville commands. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.8/10.

Court records carry 72 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. The voucher gap is 14.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation is 5.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 9.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.6% in 2016, is well off that peak. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Cooktown vs Dranesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.1% +80%
Dranesville: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$2,651 -17%
Dranesville: $3,187
Average HH income
$176,792 -16%
Dranesville: $210,766
Poverty rate
6.7% +147%
Dranesville: 2.7%
Renter share
18.1% +162%
Dranesville: 6.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Cooktown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.4–4.8

Why Cooktown scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 3.5–8.9 across tracts
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 2.3–7.7 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.3–5.6 across tracts
5.1
Economic stress
6.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.1 across tracts
1.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–8.2 across tracts
6.4
Risk score comparison

Cooktown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Cooktown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.0CooktownNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Cooktown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.4 points from 3.4 to 4.8. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Cooktown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
51059480801 4.8 6,624 46% $2,266
51059480502 3.5 6,319 72% $3,056
51059480503 3.4 3,307 45% $2,648
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 22

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 43%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 58%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 17%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Cooktown

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 72Total filings (sum)
  • 3.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak year (2011)
  • 3.67%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Cooktown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Cooktown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Cooktown?

Cooktown scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Cooktown compare to Dranesville overall?

Cooktown scores 0.0 points higher than Dranesville overall (4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,651 vs $3,187.
Q3

What is the average rent in Cooktown?

Average gross rent in Cooktown is $2,651/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Cooktown residents are renters?

18% of Cooktown households are renter-occupied (vs 7% in Dranesville). The neighborhood has 16,250 residents.
Q5

Is Cooktown a high social-vulnerability area?

Cooktown sits in the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Cooktown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Cooktown is census tract 51059480801 (score 4.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 4.8, a spread of 1.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Cooktown for landlords?

Cooktown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dranesville as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Cooktown?

Cooktown has 15,965 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53.3%), Hispanic / Latino (25.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Cooktown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dranesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Cooktown.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further