Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 51085320200 Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51085320200 · Hanover County, VA · pop 6,184
Tract 51085320200 sits in Hanover County, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.9/10. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,101
Renter share16.9%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$100,428
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Hanover County and the region
Centroid at 37.8000, -77.6942 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 51085320200 scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,120 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 51085320200 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 31.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 51085320200
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. Cost burden runs 47% here against 36.2% across Hanover County. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $100,428, annual rent is just 13%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51085320200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51085320200?
Census tract 51085320200 in Hanover County scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51085320200?
Median gross rent is $1,120/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51085320200?
4.9% of residents in tract 51085320200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,184.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51085320200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 16th, minority 34th, housing 21th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51085320200 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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