Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Grayson Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Tuckahoe
Tract 51087200134 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,013 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51087200134 sits in the Grayson Hill area of Tuckahoe eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. It is home to 5,013 residents. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,897
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$122,091
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region
Centroid at 37.5873, -77.5882 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grayson Hill scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tuckahoe
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,482 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuckahoe
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuckahoe
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuckahoe
5.4
How Grayson Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grayson Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Grayson Hill
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Against Henrico County at 47.8%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.6/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $122,091, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200134
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200134?
Census tract 51087200134 in the Grayson Hill neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200134?
Median gross rent is $1,482/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200134?
12.9% of residents in tract 51087200134 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,013.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200134?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 67th, minority 25th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200134 considered part of Grayson Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200134 fall within Grayson Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087200134 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087200134 compare to Tuckahoe overall?
Tract 51087200134 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe
Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Sweet Briar Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Grayson Hill
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Wedgewood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Gayton Green
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Wedgewood
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Tuckahoe Village West
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Drouin Hill
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Westbriar
3.2
/ 10 · Low
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