Grayson Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuckahoe
Tract 51087200106 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,018 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 51087200106 in the Grayson Hill area of Tuckahoe, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,018. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region
Centroid at 37.6000, -77.5796 · click any tract to drill in
Why Grayson Hill scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Grayson Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 226Total filings over 2 yrs
- 10.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2016)
- 134Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Grayson Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.3%Food insecurity
- 17.1%SNAP enrollment
- 10.4%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 38.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Grayson Hill
Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.6/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,231, 20% below the Tuckahoe average.
It sits 1.2 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 226 eviction filings across 2 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 11.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51087200106
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200106?
What is the average rent in tract 51087200106?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200106?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200106?
Is tract 51087200106 considered part of Grayson Hill?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200106?
What share of households in tract 51087200106 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51087200106 compare to Tuckahoe overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe
Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.