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Neighborhood · Tuckahoe, VA

Grayson Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 10,031 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.1–3.6

Grayson Hill is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Tuckahoe with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,031 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 32% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,356/month sits 12% lower than the Tuckahoe citywide average ($1,536).

Risk score
2.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Grayson Hill vs Tuckahoe How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.4% +87%
Tuckahoe: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$1,356 -12%
Tuckahoe: $1,536
Average HH income
$94,855 -1%
Tuckahoe: $96,188
Poverty rate
16.2% +101%
Tuckahoe: 8.1%
Renter share
33.9% -6%
Tuckahoe: 36.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Grayson Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.1–3.6

Why Grayson Hill scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
34% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
16.2% below poverty line · Range 3.2–4.9 across tracts
4.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–3.7 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Grayson Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Grayson Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Grayson Hill: 2.92.9Grayson HillNeighborhoodParent city: 3.63.6Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Grayson Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51087200106 3.6 5,018 47% $1,231
51087200134 2.1 5,013 60% $1,482
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Grayson Hill

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 226Total filings (sum)
  • 10.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 11.86%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grayson Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Grayson Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Grayson Hill?

Grayson Hill scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Grayson Hill compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Grayson Hill scores 0.7 points lower than Tuckahoe overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,356 vs $1,536.
Q3

What is the average rent in Grayson Hill?

Average gross rent in Grayson Hill is $1,356/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Grayson Hill residents are renters?

34% of Grayson Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Tuckahoe). The neighborhood has 10,031 residents.
Q5

Is Grayson Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Grayson Hill sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Grayson Hill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Grayson Hill is census tract 51087200106 (score 3.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.1 to 3.6, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Grayson Hill for landlords?

Grayson Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tuckahoe as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Grayson Hill?

Grayson Hill has 10,593 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.3%), Hispanic / Latino (11.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Grayson Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tuckahoe

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Grayson Hill.

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