2 census tracts · pop 10,031 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10
· range 3.7–5.5
Grayson Hill takes in 2 census tracts of Tuckahoe, VA, population 10,031. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. Against a Tuckahoe baseline of 28.6%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.7 to 5.5. A 1.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 226 evictions logged in this tract. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.9/10.
The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,356, 12% below the Tuckahoe average of $1,536. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 11.9% of renter households.
Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Tuckahoe, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 1.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
For a like-for-like read, Tuckahoe Village West and Wedgewood score within a fraction of it.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Grayson Hill vs TuckahoeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Grayson Hill
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
226Total filings (sum)
10.48%Avg annual filing rate
11.9%Peak year (2016)
11.86%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Grayson Hill
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
10.9%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility shutoff threat
13.3%Food insecurity
11.5%SNAP enrollment
9.4%No health insurance
33.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Grayson Hill
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Grayson Hill?
Grayson Hill scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Grayson Hill compare to Tuckahoe overall?
Grayson Hill scores 0.5 points higher than Tuckahoe overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,356 vs $1,536.
Q3
What is the average rent in Grayson Hill?
Average gross rent in Grayson Hill is $1,356/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Grayson Hill residents are renters?
34% of Grayson Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Tuckahoe). The neighborhood has 10,031 residents.
Q5
Is Grayson Hill a high social-vulnerability area?
Grayson Hill sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Grayson Hill have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Grayson Hill is census tract 51087200106 (score 5.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 5.5, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Grayson Hill for landlords?
Grayson Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tuckahoe as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Grayson Hill?
Grayson Hill has 10,593 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.3%), Hispanic / Latino (11.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
