Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Gayton Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tuckahoe

Tract 51087200136 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,184 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

51087200136 is a census tract in the Gayton Green area of Tuckahoe, VA. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,184 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 25% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units1,435

Renter share59.8%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate8.9%

Median income$54,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region

Centroid at 37.6073, -77.6276 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gayton Green scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tuckahoe

8.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

8.9% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$1,329 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tuckahoe

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tuckahoe

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tuckahoe

5.4

How Gayton Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

41%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.1%Housing insecurity
6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
12.1%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
8.9%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
40.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gayton Green

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 47.8% across Henrico County. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.2/10. Average gross rent is $1,329, 13% below the Tuckahoe average.

It sits 0.7 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $54,375. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200136

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200136?

Census tract 51087200136 in the Gayton Green neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51087200136?

Median gross rent is $1,329/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200136?

8.9% of residents in tract 51087200136 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,184.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200136?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 97th, minority 40th, housing 68th.

Is tract 51087200136 considered part of Gayton Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200136 fall within Gayton Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51087200136 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51087200136 compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Tract 51087200136 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe

Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.