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Neighborhood · Tuckahoe, VA

Gayton Green Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,184 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.9-6.9

Gayton Green is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Tuckahoe with 1 census tract and a population of 3,184 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 59% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 42% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,329/month sits 13% lower than the Tuckahoe citywide average ($1,536).

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Gayton Green vs Tuckahoe How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
59.0% +106%
Tuckahoe: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$1,329 -13%
Tuckahoe: $1,536
Average HH income
$54,375 -43%
Tuckahoe: $96,188
Poverty rate
8.9% +10%
Tuckahoe: 8.1%
Renter share
59.8% +65%
Tuckahoe: 36.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gayton Green and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.9-6.9

Why Gayton Green scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5-6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.6-8.6 across tracts
8.6
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 6.4-6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.1-3.1 across tracts
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 7.5-7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.4-5.4 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
8.9% below poverty line · Range 2.2-2.2 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8-2.8 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Gayton Green vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Gayton Green score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Gayton Green: 6.96.9Gayton GreenNeighborhoodParent city: 5.95.9Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Gayton Green

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51087200136 6.9 3,184 59% $1,329
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 70

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 97%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 40%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Gayton Green

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Gayton Green

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Gayton Green?

Gayton Green scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Gayton Green compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Gayton Green scores 1.0 points higher than Tuckahoe overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,329 vs $1,536.

Q3

What is the average rent in Gayton Green?

Average gross rent in Gayton Green is $1,329/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Gayton Green residents are renters?

60% of Gayton Green households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Tuckahoe). The neighborhood has 3,184 residents.

Q5

Is Gayton Green a high social-vulnerability area?

Gayton Green sits in the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

How safe is Gayton Green for landlords?

Gayton Green carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tuckahoe as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Gayton Green?

Gayton Green has 3,198 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.1%), Other / Multiracial (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Gayton Green

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tuckahoe

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Gayton Green.

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