Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally
Ziontown Eviction Risk: Lower , Tuckahoe
Tract 51087200201 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,758 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Here is how census tract 51087200201, in the Ziontown neighborhood of Tuckahoe eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 5.8/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,758. On the national scale it ranks #28,088 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 27% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,711 a month against an average household income of $120,833 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,244
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$120,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
23
th percentile
Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region
Centroid at 37.5942, -77.5571 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ziontown scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tuckahoe
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,711 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuckahoe
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuckahoe
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuckahoe
5.4
How Ziontown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 180Total filings over 2 yrs
- 38.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 52.4%Peak (2016)
- 122Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.9%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ziontown
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 180 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 38.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 52.4% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200201?
Census tract 51087200201 in the Ziontown neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200201?
Median gross rent is $1,711/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200201?
2.3% of residents in tract 51087200201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,758.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 5th, minority 29th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200201 considered part of Ziontown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200201 fall within Ziontown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 180 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.63% of renter households, peaking at 52.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200201 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200201 compare to Tuckahoe overall?
Tract 51087200201 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe
Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Grayson Hill
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Sweet Briar Park
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Wedgewood
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Gayton Green
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Wedgewood
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Tuckahoe Village West
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Grayson Hill
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Drouin Hill
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
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