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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ziontown Eviction Risk: Lower , Tuckahoe

Tract 51087200201 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,758 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 51087200201 covers part of the Ziontown area of Tuckahoe, VA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Henrico County average of 47.8%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 10% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,244
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$120,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ziontown
Moderate
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 14 tracts In Tuckahoe
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tuckahoe and the region

Centroid at 37.5942, -77.5571 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ziontown scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tuckahoe
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,711 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tuckahoe
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tuckahoe
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tuckahoe
5.4

How Ziontown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ziontown risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 2002014.1Tuckahoeparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 180Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 38.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 52.4%Peak (2016)
  • 122Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ziontown

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10.

Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 4.9% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Court records carry 180 eviction filings across 2 observed years. At $1,711 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Tuckahoe commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 52.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 38.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200201?

Census tract 51087200201 in the Ziontown neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51087200201?

Median gross rent is $1,711/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200201?

2.3% of residents in tract 51087200201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,758.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 5th, minority 29th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 51087200201 considered part of Ziontown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200201 fall within Ziontown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 180 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.63% of renter households, peaking at 52.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51087200201 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51087200201 compare to Tuckahoe overall?

Tract 51087200201 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tuckahoe at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tuckahoe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tuckahoe

Top eight tracts in Tuckahoe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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