Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Libbie Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Dumbarton
Tract 51087200404 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,574 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 51087200404, home to 2,574 residents in the Libbie Mill neighborhood of Dumbarton, scores 6.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #10,192 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,408 a month against an average household income of $71,591 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,248
Renter share52.0%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$71,591
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dumbarton and the region
Centroid at 37.6059, -77.5023 · click any tract to drill in
Why Libbie Mill scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dumbarton
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,408 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dumbarton
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dumbarton
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dumbarton
7.0
How Libbie Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 333Total filings over 2 yrs
- 26.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 33.1%Peak (2016)
- 205Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Libbie Mill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 11.0%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Libbie Mill
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dumbarton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 333 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 26.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 33.1% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200404?
Census tract 51087200404 in the Libbie Mill neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200404?
Median gross rent is $1,408/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200404?
9.3% of residents in tract 51087200404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,574.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 1th, minority 55th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200404 considered part of Libbie Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200404 fall within Libbie Mill (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 333 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.75% of renter households, peaking at 33.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200404 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200404 compare to Dumbarton overall?
Tract 51087200404 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Dumbarton at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dumbarton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dumbarton
Top eight tracts in Dumbarton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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