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Neighborhood · Dumbarton, VA

Libbie Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 6,762 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.9/10 · range 5.3-6.9

Libbie Mill is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Dumbarton with 3 census tracts and a population of 6,762 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 56% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,571/month sits 11% higher than the Dumbarton citywide average ($1,421).

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Libbie Mill vs Dumbarton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.6% +79%
Dumbarton: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,571 +11%
Dumbarton: $1,421
Average HH income
$71,813 +22%
Dumbarton: $59,085
Poverty rate
13.8% +6%
Dumbarton: 13.1%
Renter share
45.4% -35%
Dumbarton: 69.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Libbie Mill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 5.3-6.9

Why Libbie Mill scores 5.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5-6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2-8.6 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 3.2-8.7 across tracts
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7-5.0 across tracts
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
45% renter households · Range 4.0-9.8 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0-7.3 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
13.8% below poverty line · Range 1.4-6.8 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2-4.9 across tracts
4.2
Risk score comparison

Libbie Mill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Libbie Mill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Libbie Mill: 5.95.9Libbie MillNeighborhoodParent city: 6.26.2Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Libbie Mill?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 5.3 to 6.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Libbie Mill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51087200501 6.9 2,158 62% $1,688
51087200404 5.5 2,574 41% $1,408
51087200502 5.3 2,030 67% $1,652
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 42

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 31%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Libbie Mill

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 512Total filings (sum)
  • 19.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 33.1%Peak year (2016)
  • 23.22%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Libbie Mill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Libbie Mill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Libbie Mill?

Libbie Mill scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Libbie Mill compare to Dumbarton overall?

Libbie Mill scores 0.3 points lower than Dumbarton overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,571 vs $1,421.

Q3

What is the average rent in Libbie Mill?

Average gross rent in Libbie Mill is $1,571/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Libbie Mill residents are renters?

45% of Libbie Mill households are renter-occupied (vs 70% in Dumbarton). The neighborhood has 6,762 residents.

Q5

Is Libbie Mill a high social-vulnerability area?

Libbie Mill sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Libbie Mill have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Libbie Mill is census tract 51087200501 (score 6.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6.9, a spread of 1.6 points.

Q7

How safe is Libbie Mill for landlords?

Libbie Mill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dumbarton as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Libbie Mill?

Libbie Mill has 7,033 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63.3%), Hispanic / Latino (14.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Libbie Mill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dumbarton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Libbie Mill.

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