Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #38,706 of 84,120 nationally
Middleton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Glen Allen
Tract 51087200908 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,976 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
The Middleton area of Glen Allen is where census tract 51087200908 sits, home to 2,976 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 60% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,471 a month while the average household earns $85,840 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share34.3%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$85,840
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Glen Allen and the region
Centroid at 37.6454, -77.4588 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middleton scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Glen Allen
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,471 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Glen Allen
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Glen Allen
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Glen Allen
3.7
How Middleton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 8.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middleton
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Glen Allen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200908
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200908?
Census tract 51087200908 in the Middleton neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200908?
Median gross rent is $1,471/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200908?
3.4% of residents in tract 51087200908 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,976.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200908?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 46th, minority 78th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200908 considered part of Middleton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200908 fall within Middleton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087200908 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087200908 compare to Glen Allen overall?
Tract 51087200908 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Glen Allen at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Glen Allen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Glen Allen
Top eight tracts in Glen Allen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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