Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Middleton Eviction Risk: Lower , Glen Allen
Tract 51087200908 ·
Henrico County, VA · pop 2,976 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 51087200908 sits in the Middleton area of Glen Allen, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Population here is 2,976. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%Stable renters 14%Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share34.3%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$85,840
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Middleton
Moderate
Within parent city
67th percentile
#2 of 4 tracts In Glen Allen
Elevated
Within county
38th percentile
#53 of 85 tracts In Henrico County
Low
Within state
31th percentile
#1,505 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Glen Allen and the region
Centroid at 37.6454, -77.4588 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middleton scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Glen Allen
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,471 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Glen Allen
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Glen Allen
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Glen Allen
3.7
How Middleton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
64%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
20%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.6%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
11.6%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
7.4%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
26.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middleton
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Henrico County average of 47.8%. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Average gross rent is $1,471, 18% below the Glen Allen average. It sits 0.9 points below the Henrico County average of 4.3.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $85,840.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200908
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200908?
Census tract 51087200908 in the Middleton neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200908?
Median gross rent is $1,471/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200908?
3.4% of residents in tract 51087200908 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,976.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200908?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 46th, minority 78th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200908 considered part of Middleton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200908 fall within Middleton (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087200908 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087200908 compare to Glen Allen overall?
Tract 51087200908 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Glen Allen at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Glen Allen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Glen Allen
Top eight tracts in Glen Allen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.