Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,414 of 84,120 nationally
The Belmont At River Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Glen Allen
Tract 51087200907 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,661 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 51087200907 covers part of the The Belmont At River Mill area of Glen Allen, VA, and scores 3.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,661 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
3.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,918
Renter share35.2%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$107,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Glen Allen and the region
Centroid at 37.6713, -77.4702 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Belmont At River Mill scores 3.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Glen Allen
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,770 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Glen Allen
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Glen Allen
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Glen Allen
3.7
How The Belmont At River Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.9%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Belmont At River Mill
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 38% here against 47.8% across Henrico County. It sits 1.2 points below the Henrico County average of 4.3.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Nationally it ranks #65,414 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,770, close to the Glen Allen average.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $107,125. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200907
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200907?
Census tract 51087200907 in the The Belmont At River Mill neighborhood scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200907?
Median gross rent is $1,770/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200907?
6.0% of residents in tract 51087200907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,661.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200907?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 87th, minority 65th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200907 considered part of The Belmont At River Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200907 fall within The Belmont At River Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087200907 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087200907 compare to Glen Allen overall?
Tract 51087200907 scores 3.1/10, lower than the parent city of Glen Allen at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Glen Allen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Glen Allen
Top eight tracts in Glen Allen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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