Neighborhood · Ranked #42,790 of 84,120 nationally

The Belmont At River Mill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Glen Allen

Tract 51087200907 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,661 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51087200907 sits in the The Belmont At River Mill neighborhood of Glen Allen, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,770 a month while the average household earns $107,125 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 22% Owners 65%

Tract context

Occupied units1,918

Renter share35.2%

SVI overall0.55

Poverty rate6.0%

Median income$107,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Glen Allen and the region

Centroid at 37.6713, -77.4702 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Belmont At River Mill scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Glen Allen

4.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Virginia legislature & governorship

3.2

Economic stress

6.0% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,770 rent vs county FMR

5.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Glen Allen

4.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Glen Allen

5.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Glen Allen

3.7

How The Belmont At River Mill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
87%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
49%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.9%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
11.9%Food insecurity
9.2%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
7.3%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
28.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Belmont At River Mill

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Glen Allen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Henrico County average of 6.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51087200907

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200907?

Census tract 51087200907 in the The Belmont At River Mill neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 51087200907?

Median gross rent is $1,770/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200907?

6.0% of residents in tract 51087200907 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,661.

How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200907?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 87th, minority 65th, housing 49th.

Is tract 51087200907 considered part of The Belmont At River Mill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200907 fall within The Belmont At River Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 51087200907 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 51087200907 compare to Glen Allen overall?

Tract 51087200907 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Glen Allen at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Glen Allen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Glen Allen

Top eight tracts in Glen Allen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.