Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Windsor Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Montrose
Tract 51087201103 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,033 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 51087201103 sits in the Windsor Place area of Henrico County, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. It is home to 3,033 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,448
Renter share63.5%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$55,125
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montrose and the region
Centroid at 37.5562, -77.3666 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Place scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montrose
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,148 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montrose
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montrose
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montrose
5.0
How Windsor Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Windsor Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.3%Housing insecurity
- 16.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.4%Food insecurity
- 26.6%SNAP enrollment
- 14.8%Transit barriers
- 12.3%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 37.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Windsor Place
29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs 60% here against 47.8% across Henrico County.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. SNAP participation runs 26.6% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.8/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Average gross rent runs $1,148 a month.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201103?
Census tract 51087201103 in the Windsor Place neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201103?
Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201103?
11.4% of residents in tract 51087201103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,033.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 43th, minority 94th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201103 considered part of Windsor Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201103 fall within Windsor Place (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087201103 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087201103 compare to Montrose overall?
Tract 51087201103 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Montrose at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montrose; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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