Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Windsor Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Montrose
Tract 51087201102 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,269 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 6.7/10, tract 51087201102 in Windsor Place in Montrose ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,269 residents. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,350 a month against an average household income of $63,231 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,823
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$63,231
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montrose and the region
Centroid at 37.5277, -77.3792 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Place scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montrose
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montrose
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montrose
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montrose
8.3
How Windsor Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 530Total filings over 2 yrs
- 28.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.1%Peak (2015)
- 264Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Windsor Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.3%Food insecurity
- 19.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 34.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Windsor Place
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Montrose, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 530 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 28.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 26.1% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201102?
Census tract 51087201102 in the Windsor Place neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201102?
Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201102?
13.2% of residents in tract 51087201102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,269.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 78th, minority 87th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201102 considered part of Windsor Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201102 fall within Windsor Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087201102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 530 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087201102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.22% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087201102 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087201102 compare to Montrose overall?
Tract 51087201102 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Montrose at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montrose; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51087201102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Montrose
Top eight tracts in Montrose ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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