Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Windsor Place Eviction Risk: Elevated , Montrose
Tract 51087201102 · Henrico County, VA · pop 4,269 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 7.1/10, tract 51087201102 in the Windsor Place area of Montrose, VA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It sits 2.8 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,823
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$63,231
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montrose and the region
Centroid at 37.5277, -77.3792 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Place scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montrose
8.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,350 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montrose
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montrose
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montrose
8.3
How Windsor Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 530Total filings over 2 yrs
- 28.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.1%Peak (2015)
- 264Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Windsor Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.3%Food insecurity
- 19.2%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 34.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Windsor Place
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.6/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.6/10.
Cost burden runs 42% here against 47.8% across Henrico County. The filing record is not thin: 530 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 26.1% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Richmond. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 28.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 2.9 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,350, close to the Montrose average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201102?
Census tract 51087201102 in the Windsor Place neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201102?
Median gross rent is $1,350/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201102?
13.2% of residents in tract 51087201102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,269.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 78th, minority 87th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201102 considered part of Windsor Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201102 fall within Windsor Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087201102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 530 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087201102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 28.22% of renter households, peaking at 26.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087201102 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087201102 compare to Montrose overall?
Tract 51087201102 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Montrose at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montrose; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51087201102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Montrose
Top eight tracts in Montrose ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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