Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Windsor Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Montrose
Tract 51087201104 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,390 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 51087201104 sits in the Windsor Place area of Henrico County, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Population here is 3,390. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,544
Renter share31.9%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$62,171
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montrose and the region
Centroid at 37.5432, -77.3787 · click any tract to drill in
Why Windsor Place scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montrose
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,084 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montrose
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montrose
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montrose
5.0
How Windsor Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Windsor Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.3%Housing insecurity
- 10.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.9%Food insecurity
- 15.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Windsor Place
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
Cost burden runs 56% here against 47.8% across Henrico County. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
It tracks the Henrico County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,084 a month.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $62,171. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201104?
Census tract 51087201104 in the Windsor Place neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201104?
Median gross rent is $1,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201104?
5.4% of residents in tract 51087201104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,390.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 24th, minority 87th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201104 considered part of Windsor Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201104 fall within Windsor Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087201104 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087201104 compare to Montrose overall?
Tract 51087201104 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Montrose at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montrose; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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