Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Sanburne Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Highland Springs
Tract 51087201205 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,372 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
51087201205 is a census tract in the Sanburne Park area of Highland Springs, VA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,529
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$50,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Highland Springs and the region
Centroid at 37.5370, -77.3313 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sanburne Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,166 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Springs
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.7
How Sanburne Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.1%Food insecurity
- 21.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sanburne Park
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10.
The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Henrico County average of 47.8%.
Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,166, 8% below the Highland Springs average.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $50,942. 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201205?
Census tract 51087201205 in the Sanburne Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201205?
Median gross rent is $1,166/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201205?
18.6% of residents in tract 51087201205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,372.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 56th, minority 83th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201205 considered part of Sanburne Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201205 fall within Sanburne Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087201205 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087201205 compare to Highland Springs overall?
Tract 51087201205 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Highland Springs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Highland Springs
Top eight tracts in Highland Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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