Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Hechler Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Highland Springs
Tract 51087201206 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,470 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 51087201206 sits in the Hechler Village area of Highland Springs, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Cost burden runs 22% here against 47.8% across Henrico County.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,053
Renter share27.1%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$63,843
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Highland Springs and the region
Centroid at 37.5442, -77.3472 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hechler Village scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$932 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Springs
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.7
How Hechler Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Hechler Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.9%Housing insecurity
- 17.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.3%Food insecurity
- 26.8%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hechler Village
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $932 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Highland Springs commands.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10. SNAP participation runs 26.8% against 15.2% nationally.
10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. It sits 0.6 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3.
On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $63,843, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201206?
Census tract 51087201206 in the Hechler Village neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201206?
Median gross rent is $932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201206?
11.2% of residents in tract 51087201206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,470.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 83th, minority 96th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201206 considered part of Hechler Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201206 fall within Hechler Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087201206 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087201206 compare to Highland Springs overall?
Tract 51087201206 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Highland Springs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Highland Springs
Top eight tracts in Highland Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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