Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Springs Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51087201203 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,163
Highland Springs anchors census tract 51087201203, which lands at 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 38% of renter households, a high level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,569 monthly, set against $70,197 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,095
Renter share39.2%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$70,197
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Highland Springs and the region
Centroid at 37.5598, -77.3434 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Springs scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,569 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Springs
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.7
How Highland Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.6%Housing insecurity
- 12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.5%Food insecurity
- 20.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.7%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Springs
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Highland Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201203?
Census tract 51087201203 in Highland Springs scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201203?
Median gross rent is $1,569/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201203?
9.5% of residents in tract 51087201203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,163.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 69th, minority 91th, housing 1th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51087201203 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51087201203 compare to Highland Springs overall?
Tract 51087201203 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Highland Springs at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Highland Springs
Top eight tracts in Highland Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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