Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51087201203 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,163
Tract 51087201203 sits in Highland Springs, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 3,163. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,095
Renter share39.2%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate9.5%
Median income$70,197
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Highland Springs and the region
Centroid at 37.5598, -77.3434 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Springs scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.5% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,569 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Springs
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.7
How Highland Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 35%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 1%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.6%Housing insecurity
- 12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.5%Food insecurity
- 20.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.7%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Springs
38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Henrico County average of 47.8%. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.9/10.
At $1,569 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Highland Springs commands. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10.
That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Henrico County average of 4.3 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $70,197.
39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201203?
Census tract 51087201203 in Highland Springs scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201203?
Median gross rent is $1,569/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201203?
9.5% of residents in tract 51087201203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,163.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 69th, minority 91th, housing 1th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 51087201203 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51087201203 compare to Highland Springs overall?
Tract 51087201203 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Highland Springs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Highland Springs
Top eight tracts in Highland Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related