Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally
Sanburne Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Highland Springs
Tract 51087201205 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,372 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
For landlords sizing up the Sanburne Park neighborhood of Highland Springs, census tract 51087201205 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,166 a month while the average household earns $50,942 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,529
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$50,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Highland Springs and the region
Centroid at 37.5370, -77.3313 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sanburne Park scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,166 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Highland Springs
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Highland Springs
6.7
How Sanburne Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.1%Food insecurity
- 21.7%SNAP enrollment
- 12.3%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sanburne Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Highland Springs, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087201205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087201205?
Census tract 51087201205 in the Sanburne Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087201205?
Median gross rent is $1,166/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087201205?
18.6% of residents in tract 51087201205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,372.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087201205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 56th, minority 83th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 51087201205 considered part of Sanburne Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087201205 fall within Sanburne Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51087201205 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51087201205 compare to Highland Springs overall?
Tract 51087201205 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Highland Springs at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Highland Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Highland Springs
Top eight tracts in Highland Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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