Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
River Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Lansdowne
Tract 51107610507 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,958 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Here is how census tract 51107610507, in River Creek in Lansdowne, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,958. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,618 monthly, set against $198,900 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,876
Renter share3.1%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$198,900
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lansdowne and the region
Centroid at 39.1019, -77.4945 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Creek scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lansdowne
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,618 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lansdowne
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.3
How River Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.09%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2016)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Creek
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lansdowne, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 6.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.1% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107610507
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610507?
Census tract 51107610507 in the River Creek neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107610507?
Median gross rent is $2,618/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610507?
3.7% of residents in tract 51107610507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,958.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610507?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 31th, minority 44th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 51107610507 considered part of River Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107610507 fall within River Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610507?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610507 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.09% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107610507 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107610507 compare to Lansdowne overall?
Tract 51107610507 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lansdowne at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansdowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lansdowne
Top eight tracts in Lansdowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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