Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Locust Grove Eviction Risk: Lower , Purcellville
Tract 51107610701 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,495 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 51107610701 covers part of the Locust Grove area of Purcellville, VA, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. 11% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Loudoun County average of 37.5%.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,651
Renter share7.9%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.9%
Median income$203,558
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Purcellville and the region
Centroid at 39.1281, -77.7330 · click any tract to drill in
Why Locust Grove scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Purcellville
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Purcellville
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Purcellville
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Purcellville
5.7
How Locust Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 0%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 0.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.6%Peak (2016)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.1%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 20.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Locust Grove
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 58% over what the rest of Purcellville commands.
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 5.1% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 filings here across 1 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 0.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107610701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610701?
Census tract 51107610701 in the Locust Grove neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107610701?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610701?
0.9% of residents in tract 51107610701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,495.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 10th, minority 29th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 51107610701 considered part of Locust Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107610701 fall within Locust Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.59% of renter households, peaking at 0.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107610701 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107610701 compare to Purcellville overall?
Tract 51107610701 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Purcellville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Purcellville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Purcellville
Top eight tracts in Purcellville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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