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Neighborhood

Eviction Risk in Locust Grove , Purcellville

1 census tracts · pop 5,495 · pop-weighted composite 4.8/10 · range 4.8–4.8

Locust Grove is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Purcellville with 1 census tract and a population of 5,495 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty. 11% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 0% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $3,501/month sits 58% higher than the Purcellville citywide median ($2,222).

Eviction Risk
4.8
Moderate tier · pop-weighted across tracts
Rent burden
11%
0% severely burdened
Median rent
$3,501
Median household income
$203,558
0.9% below poverty line
Risk score comparison

Locust Grove vs. parent city, state, and U.S.

Composite landlord eviction-risk score (0–10 scale).

Locust Grove score vs. parent city, state, U.S.U.S. avg = 5.0Locust Grove: 4.84.8Locust GroveNeighborhoodParent city: 5.55.5Parent cityhost cityState: 5.35.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by composite score.

Peer · VA
Ashburn Mews
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
1 tracts · pop. 5.2K
Peer · VA
Loudoun Station
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
2 tracts · pop. 5.3K
Peer · VA
Moorefield Village
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
1 tracts · pop. 6.7K
Peer · VA
Carters
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
1 tracts · pop. 6.9K
Comparison

Locust Grove vs Purcellville

How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average.

Composite score
4.8 -13%
Purcellville: 5.5
Rent burden
10.8% -61%
Purcellville: 27.8%
Median gross rent
$3,501 +58%
Purcellville: $2,222
Median HH income
$203,558 +25%
Purcellville: $162,981
Poverty rate
0.9% -81%
Purcellville: 4.8%
Renter share
7.9% -23%
Purcellville: 10.2%
Where

Tract centroids in Locust Grove

Dot color = eviction risk score for that tract.

Demographics

Racial & ethnic composition

White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 5,537 residents across all tracts in Locust Grove. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (B03002).

Hispanic / Latino: 5.9% White (non-Hispanic): 83.3% Black (non-Hispanic): 2.9% Asian (non-Hispanic): 4.6% Other / Multiracial: 3.3%
  • Hispanic / Latino 5.9%
  • White (non-Hispanic) 83.3%
  • Black (non-Hispanic) 2.9%
  • Asian (non-Hispanic) 4.6%
  • Other / Multiracial 3.3%
Census tracts

1 tracts in Locust Grove

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop Rent burden Median rent
51107610701 4.8 5,495 11% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 1

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 0%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 10%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 29%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Locust Grove

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings (sum)
  • 0.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.6%Peak year (2016)
  • 0.59%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Locust Grove

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Locust Grove

What is the eviction-risk score for Locust Grove?

Locust Grove scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden and poverty signals.

How does Locust Grove compare to Purcellville overall?

Locust Grove scores 0.7 points lower than Purcellville overall (5.5/10). Rent burden: 11% vs 28% citywide. Median rent: $3,501 vs $2,222.

What is the median rent in Locust Grove?

Median gross rent in Locust Grove is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Locust Grove residents are renters?

8% of Locust Grove households are renter-occupied (vs 10% in Purcellville). The neighborhood has 5,495 residents.

Is Locust Grove a high social-vulnerability area?

Locust Grove sits in the 1th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Locust Grove