Locust Grove Eviction Risk: Lower

At $3,501 a month, rents sit 58% over what the rest of Purcellville commands. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 1/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.

SNAP participation is 3.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 1 eviction filings. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 0.6% of renter households.

4.4% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Judgments average 0.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $203,558.

One tract means one number: 3.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.