Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Purcellville Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51107610201 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,241 · 6% of tract blocks fall in Purcellville
With a score of 3.7/10, tract 51107610201 in Purcellville, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,241. Against Loudoun County at 37.5%, 15% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,026
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$201,289
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
National
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Purcellville and the region
Centroid at 39.1922, -77.7080 · click any tract to drill in
Why Purcellville scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Purcellville
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,380 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Purcellville
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Purcellville
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Purcellville
5.7
How Purcellville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak (2016)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 5.1%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Purcellville
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Court records carry 5 eviction filings across 1 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $201,289, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107610201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107610201?
Census tract 51107610201 in Purcellville scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107610201?
Median gross rent is $2,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107610201?
1.9% of residents in tract 51107610201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,241.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107610201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 45th, minority 38th, housing 7th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107610201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107610201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.15% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 51107610201 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51107610201 compare to Purcellville overall?
Tract 51107610201 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Purcellville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Purcellville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Purcellville
Top eight tracts in Purcellville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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