Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Cadence at Lansdowne Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51107611009 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,670 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51107611009 covers part of the Cadence at Lansdowne area of Lansdowne, VA, and scores 3.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,670. Cost burden runs 14% here against 37.5% across Loudoun County.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,534
Renter share6.1%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lansdowne and the region
Centroid at 39.0908, -77.4852 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cadence at Lansdowne scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lansdowne
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,288 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lansdowne
5.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lansdowne
3.3
How Cadence at Lansdowne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 1 yrs
- 3.70%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2016)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cadence at Lansdowne
The voucher gap is 42.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $3,288, 39% above the Lansdowne average. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 4.2% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4 filings here across 1 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #54,273 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51107611009
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611009?
Census tract 51107611009 in the Cadence at Lansdowne neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51107611009?
Median gross rent is $3,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 14% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611009?
1.7% of residents in tract 51107611009 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,670.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611009?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 44th, minority 53th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 51107611009 considered part of Cadence at Lansdowne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611009 fall within Cadence at Lansdowne (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611009?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611009 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.70% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51107611009 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51107611009 compare to Lansdowne overall?
Tract 51107611009 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Lansdowne at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lansdowne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lansdowne
Top eight tracts in Lansdowne ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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