2 census tracts · pop 20,062 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.6/10
· range 3.4–3.7
Summerfield is a 2-tract neighborhood of Brambleton, VA and houses 20,062 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3.6/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Brambleton baseline of 37.2%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The voucher gap is 23.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.4/10. SNAP participation is 3.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. At $2,851 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Brambleton commands.
On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 14% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
With little internal variation, 3.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Summerfield vs BrambletonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport18%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Summerfield
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.0%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility shutoff threat
6.5%Food insecurity
3.6%SNAP enrollment
4.5%No health insurance
16.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Summerfield
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Summerfield?
Summerfield scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Summerfield compare to Brambleton overall?
Summerfield scores 0.4 points lower than Brambleton overall (4/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,851 vs $2,479.
Q3
What is the average rent in Summerfield?
Average gross rent in Summerfield is $2,851/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Summerfield residents are renters?
11% of Summerfield households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in Brambleton). The neighborhood has 20,062 residents.
Q5
Is Summerfield a high social-vulnerability area?
Summerfield sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Summerfield have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Summerfield is census tract 51107611026 (score 3.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.7, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Summerfield for landlords?
Summerfield carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brambleton as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Summerfield?
Summerfield has 20,526 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (43%), White (non-Hispanic) (41.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
