Seneca Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Lowes Island
Tract 51107611204 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 5,268 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51107611204 (Seneca Green in Lowes Island, Virginia) comes in at 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #25,074 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 57% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,288 a month while the average household earns $160,139 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lowes Island and the region
Centroid at 39.0391, -77.3726 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seneca Green scores 1.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Seneca Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seneca Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.0%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 28.1%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Seneca Green
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lowes Island, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 6 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.9% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51107611204
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611204?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611204?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611204?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611204?
Is tract 51107611204 considered part of Seneca Green?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611204?
What share of households in tract 51107611204 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611204 compare to Lowes Island overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Lowes Island
Top eight tracts in Lowes Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.