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Neighborhood · Lowes Island, VA

Seneca Green Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,735 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.2–5.9

Seneca Green is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Lowes Island with 2 census tracts and a population of 11,735 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 38% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Median gross rent of $2,497/month sits 12% lower than the Lowes Island citywide median ($2,840).

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Seneca Green vs Lowes Island How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.0% +71%
Lowes Island: 28.1%
Average gross rent
$2,497 -12%
Lowes Island: $2,840
Average HH income
$182,501 -17%
Lowes Island: $220,238
Poverty rate
4.2% +483%
Lowes Island: 0.7%
Renter share
10.3% -4%
Lowes Island: 10.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seneca Green and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2–5.9

Why Seneca Green scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 5.1–7.3 across tracts
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–3.3 across tracts
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 2.9–4.0 across tracts
3.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.4–5.4 across tracts
4.3
Economic stress
4.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.1 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–6.5 across tracts
5.8
Risk score comparison

Seneca Green vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Seneca Green score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Seneca Green: 5.55.5Seneca GreenNeighborhoodParent city: 4.44.4Parent cityhost cityState: 5.35.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Seneca Green

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51107611204 5.9 5,268 57% $2,288
51107611209 5.2 6,467 41% $2,668
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 10%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Seneca Green

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 13Total filings (sum)
  • 4.34%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.34%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seneca Green

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Seneca Green

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Seneca Green?

Seneca Green scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Seneca Green compare to Lowes Island overall?

Seneca Green scores 1.1 points higher than Lowes Island overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Median rent: $2,497 vs $2,840.

Q3

What is the average rent in Seneca Green?

Median gross rent in Seneca Green is $2,497/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Seneca Green residents are renters?

10% of Seneca Green households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Lowes Island). The neighborhood has 11,735 residents.

Q5

Is Seneca Green a high social-vulnerability area?

Seneca Green sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Seneca Green have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Seneca Green is census tract 51107611204 (score 5.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.9 — a spread of 0.7 points.

Q7

How safe is Seneca Green for landlords?

Seneca Green carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lowes Island as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Seneca Green?

Seneca Green has 12,217 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.2%), Hispanic / Latino (22.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seneca Green

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lowes Island

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seneca Green.

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