2 census tracts · pop 11,735 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10
· range 3.5–4.3
Seneca Green spans 2 census tracts of Lowes Island, VA, population 11,735. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. Against a Lowes Island baseline of 28.1%, 48% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
The severe-burden share is 38%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.5/10.
Filings are well documented here: 13 across 2 observed tracts. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.9/10. SNAP participation is 6.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
At $2,497 a month, rents sit 12% under what the rest of Lowes Island commands. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 6.4% of renter households. Judgments average 0.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.
Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Seneca Green vs Lowes IslandHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority61%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport10%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Seneca Green
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
13Total filings (sum)
4.34%Avg annual filing rate
6.4%Peak year (2016)
4.34%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seneca Green
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.5%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility shutoff threat
9.7%Food insecurity
6.1%SNAP enrollment
8.8%No health insurance
24.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Seneca Green
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Seneca Green?
Seneca Green scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Seneca Green compare to Lowes Island overall?
Seneca Green scores 0.1 points higher than Lowes Island overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,497 vs $2,840.
Q3
What is the average rent in Seneca Green?
Average gross rent in Seneca Green is $2,497/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Seneca Green residents are renters?
10% of Seneca Green households are renter-occupied (vs 11% in Lowes Island). The neighborhood has 11,735 residents.
Q5
Is Seneca Green a high social-vulnerability area?
Seneca Green sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Seneca Green have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Seneca Green is census tract 51107611204 (score 4.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 4.3, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Seneca Green for landlords?
Seneca Green carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lowes Island as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Seneca Green?
Seneca Green has 12,217 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.2%), Hispanic / Latino (22.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (14.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
