Montebello Eviction Risk: Lower , Sterling
Tract 51107611205 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,985 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
For landlords sizing up Montebello in Sterling, census tract 51107611205 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It lands near the 67th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,402 a month while the average household earns $151,875 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Sterling and the region
Centroid at 39.0253, -77.3787 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montebello scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Montebello compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21Total filings over 1 yrs
- 4.51%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Montebello. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Montebello
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sterling eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51107611205
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611205?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611205?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611205?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611205?
Is tract 51107611205 considered part of Montebello?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611205?
What share of households in tract 51107611205 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611205 compare to Sterling overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Sterling
Top eight tracts in Sterling ranked by composite eviction-risk score.