Seneca Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Lowes Island
Tract 51107611209 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 6,467 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 51107611209 in the Seneca Green area of Lowes Island, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,467. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Lowes Island and the region
Centroid at 39.0393, -77.3515 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seneca Green scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Seneca Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2016)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seneca Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 3.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 21.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Seneca Green
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.3/10. The voucher gap is 15.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Court records carry 7 eviction filings across 1 observed years.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51107611209
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611209?
What is the average rent in tract 51107611209?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611209?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611209?
Is tract 51107611209 considered part of Seneca Green?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611209?
What share of households in tract 51107611209 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51107611209 compare to Lowes Island overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Lowes Island
Top eight tracts in Lowes Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.