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Neighborhood · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

Potomac Falls Eviction Risk: Lower , Cascades

Tract 51107611206 · Loudoun County, VA · pop 4,829 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 51107611206 in the Potomac Falls area of Cascades ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,829 residents. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 26% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,953 a month while the average household earns $145,000 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 18% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,648
Renter share24.5%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$145,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Potomac Falls
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Cascades
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 75 tracts In Loudoun County
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#2,104 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cascades and the region

Centroid at 39.0575, -77.3920 · click any tract to drill in

Why Potomac Falls scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cascades
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,953 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cascades
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cascades
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cascades
4.5

How Potomac Falls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Potomac Falls risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.01.0This tracttract 611206Cascades: 3.53.5Cascadesparent cityCounty: 1.31.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 31

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.9%Peak (2016)
  • 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Potomac Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Potomac Falls

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cascades, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Loudoun County average of 5.2 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.9% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51107611206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51107611206?

Census tract 51107611206 in the Potomac Falls neighborhood scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51107611206?

Median gross rent is $1,953/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51107611206?

3.1% of residents in tract 51107611206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,829.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51107611206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 39th, minority 68th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 51107611206 considered part of Potomac Falls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51107611206 fall within Potomac Falls (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51107611206?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 51107611206 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.87% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51107611206 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51107611206 compare to Cascades overall?

Tract 51107611206 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Cascades at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cascades; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cascades

Top eight tracts in Cascades ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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